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The forecast of the European Central Bank assumes that the oil price will be $81.8 per barrel in 2024, $71.8 per barrel in 2025, $70.1 per barrel in 2026 and $69.2 per barrel in 2027.Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC): As there was no one-off income from equity securities trading in the last quarter, bank profits declined, which was partially offset by strong net interest income; The bank reported that its quarterly net interest income increased by $4.5 billion and its net interest margin rose to 3.23%. Bank of America's profits fell by 8.6% to $65.4 billion in the third quarter of 2024.Liu Xiaochun, Vice President of Shanghai New Finance Research Institute: Small and medium-sized financial institutions may focus on capital increase, restructuring and mergers and acquisitions. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to effectively prevent and resolve risks in key areas and firmly hold the bottom line of no systematic risks. The meeting also proposed that the risks of local small and medium-sized financial institutions should be properly handled. Liu Xiaochun, vice president of Shanghai Institute of New Finance and Shanghai Jiaotong University Institute of Finance, believes that local debt risks are gradually being resolved, and efforts should be made to resolve real estate risks and risks of small and medium-sized financial institutions in the next stage. (SSE)

WTI crude oil fell by 1.0% in the day to 69.17 USD/barrel.Li Guangzi, director of the Banking Research Office of the Institute of Finance of China Academy of Social Sciences: The risk of small and medium-sized financial institutions is the focus of risk disposal in the coming period. Li Guangzi, director of the Banking Research Office of the Institute of Finance of China Academy of Social Sciences, told reporters that with the implementation of the policy package to resolve local government debt risks, the local government debt risks have obviously converged recently. In contrast, risks in real estate and small and medium-sized financial institutions are still outstanding. In this context, the meeting took the risks of real estate and small and medium-sized financial institutions as the focus of risk disposal in the coming period, which made clear the focus and pointed out the direction for further financial risk disposal. Especially in the field of real estate, because of its long adjustment cycle and wide coverage, it is still the top priority of risk disposal. (SSE)WTI crude oil fell by 1.00% in the day and is now reported at $69.26/barrel.

The Turkish Foreign Ministry said that Minister Feidan was in Turkey, after the Syrian Ministry of Information said earlier that he was in Damascus.British Prime Minister Stamer met with the President of the European Council for the first time to confirm his intention to strengthen cooperation. According to the announcement issued by the British Prime Minister's Office, British Prime Minister Stamer met with the President of the European Council antonio costa in Downing Street on the afternoon of December 12th local time. The British Prime Minister's Office said that this was the first meeting between the two men, and the two sides confirmed their intention to strengthen the relationship between Britain and the EU. The British Prime Minister's Office also stated that Costa invited Stamer to attend the informal meeting of EU leaders held in Brussels on February 3, 2025. Stamer was pleased to accept the invitation and looked forward to discussing with the EU how to strengthen strategic cooperation, especially in national defense.The European Central Bank predicts that the inflation rate will drop to 2% in the fourth quarter of 2025.